Oral Presentation Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry Australasia 2023

Introducing the no significant effect concentration (nsec)   (#164)

Rebecca Fisher 1 2 , David R Fox 3 4
  1. Australian Institute of Marine Science, Crawley, WA, Australia
  2. UWA Oceans Institute, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, Australia
  3. Environmetrics Australia, Beaumaris, VIC, Australia
  4. University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia

The No Effect Concentration (NEC) is the preferred threshold metric for single species toxicity tests applied to derive safe concentration thresholds for contaminants in the environment for use in Species Sensitivity Distributions (SSDs). However, the NEC is only suitable when concentration-response (C-R) data exhibit a threshold response. Here we describe an alternative toxicity estimate, the no-significant-effect-concentration (NSEC) which is better suited to C-R data for which the response is a monotonically decreasing function of concentration and no threshold effects are evident. We use a flexible, three-parameter sigmoidal function to describe the C-R relationship and detail both Bayesian and Frequentist approaches to estimation and inference for the NSEC. While the NSEC is conceptually linked to the traditional no-observed-effect-concentration (NOEC), it is a substantial improvement over the NOEC because it decouples the estimate from being directly dependent on the placement of treatment concentrations as well as admitting statements of precision of the resulting toxicity estimate.